The Second Apocalypse

Earwa => The Aspect-Emperor => The Unholy Consult => Topic started by: profgrape on October 26, 2017, 03:07:37 pm

Title: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 26, 2017, 03:07:37 pm
During Kellhus' final conversation with Proyas, he shares yet another shocking revelation (seriously, can't Prosha get a break?) about the future:

Quote
"...The thing -- the most horrific thing to understand, Proyas, is that at some point the Inchoroi must win.  At some point, perhaps this year or ages hence, the whole of humanity will be butchered."

This is an elaboration of what Oinaral shares with Sorweel in TGO:

Quote
"...To exist across all times is to be oblivious to the Eschaton, the limit of those times, and Mog-Pharou is that limit. The Eschaton."

Taken together, these lay out a bleak future for Earwa -- the TNG as a multi-volume (calling BS on Scott's "two volumes") version of The Road.  The Gods atemporal perspective makes them blind to their own end and because they are blind to the Consult, the Consult is their end. 

In another fantasy series, I'd accept both of these statements as gospel and move along.  But this is Bakker, and one of the things I love about TSA is how unreliable perspectives mean we never really know the objective, factual truth of anything metaphysical.  That is to say, what we learn about, for example, sorcery, is what Men and Nonmen know, not what is.  Unless, of course, it comes from Bakker.  Although his penchant for misdirection calls even that into question.

With that in mind, I see a couple of inconsistencies in Kellhus and Oinaral's statements:

"...the whole of humanity will be butchered."  This is presuming that the Inchoroi are right about the mechanism for closing off the World to the Outside.  And presuming that butchery is the *only* way of closing it off.   

"...Mog-Pharou is that limit."  This isn't True(tm) at all, is it?  From the Gods' perspective, the Eschaton is the moment where the World is shut off from the Outside, their end.  But I think there's solid evidence (perhaps from Scott) that the NG is *not* what shuts out the Outside (and therefore, the Gods) -- Ajokli manifesting in Kellhus as Exhibit A in that argument.  The Dunsult imply that it's Ark that can shut things off once it can apprehend the "code on the World".   

Given these inconsistencies, I don't think it's unreasonable to imagine an alternative means of shutting out the Outside as a potential future.  Does the "Death of Meaning" require what amounts to the eradication of all much a fragment of conscious life?

If there is an alternative, what could it be?
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: SuJuroit on October 26, 2017, 03:34:57 pm
Quote
The Gods atemporal perspective makes them blind to their own end and because they are blind to the Consult, the Consult is their end. 

This concept has caused me no small confusion.  While the gods are blind to the Consult, they're not blind to themselves.  And if they perceive all of time at once, then they should be able to see their end simply because their ability to perceive time stops at that point.

I've always liked the analogy that for the Hundred, time and the Inward is like a book.  They can look at any page at any time and see what takes place on that page, and they can skip around if they like, but the book and the events in it don't change unless the Hundred are willing to expend themselves to make changes, such as creating WLWs or something.  So if at some point they flip far enough forward that they no longer appear, or they can't apprehend anything at all, then they'd know that they themselves end at that point. 
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: H on October 26, 2017, 03:42:34 pm
"...Mog-Pharou is that limit."  This isn't True(tm) at all, is it?  From the Gods' perspective, the Eschaton is the moment where the World is shut off from the Outside, their end.  But I think there's solid evidence (perhaps from Scott) that the NG is *not* what shuts out the Outside (and therefore, the Gods) -- Ajokli manifesting in Kellhus as Exhibit A in that argument.  The Dunsult imply that it's Ark that can shut things off once it can apprehend the "code on the World".

Well, yes and no?  In the sense that the No-God is the end-of-time, but also that the No-God is not literally the end of time.

Wait, what?  Ok, so the No-God is an Eschaton, that is, a marker for the end of time, but the No-God does not end time by simply being, nor should be assume that time ends with the No-God's being.  It is an apparatus.  Once it's function is complete (i.e. reading the code) time will truly end (for the gods, not for those on Eärwa, mind you).  So, perhaps we can say that meta-physical time will end.  Eärwa will still be there.  In fact, that is kind of the whole point.

So, the No-God as Eschaton: "the final action" in the sense that it's action is complete.  But simple inception (or animation, if you will) is not the completion of that action.  So, in a way, the No-God is the final stage, but that stage has multiple steps to completion.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 26, 2017, 04:22:45 pm
The No-God/Ark is rewriting eternity, that's how the Gods end.
Whether Eärwa is saved or doomed depends on your perspective.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 26, 2017, 04:34:22 pm
Ah, I see, I'd conflated the Eschaton with the end itself -- thanks for the clarification.  Even if there is a period between the Eschaton and the End, the Gods wouldn't know -- the timeless can't apprehend the "end times"!

A thought: if the End is the source of the blindness and all preceding inputs (e.g. Kelmomas) are also invisible, I wonder how far back in history this goes.  Kellhus, for example, is a second-order input in that he is Kelmomas' father; were the Gods blind to him as well? 
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 26, 2017, 04:59:50 pm
Forgive the tangent, but I think it relates a bit to this conversation. Why was Yatwer hunting Kellhus with WLW's? If she is blind to her end, how would she know Kellhus was responsible for bringing about TNG? Forgive me if I missed the reason was revealed in the text, I don't recall ever coming across why she was hunting him.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 26, 2017, 05:04:04 pm
The easy answer is yes. But, myself, I think those quotes on the No-God and what the gods can and cannot see, to be a red herring.

It could easily be that by some other means the Gods (100) cease to exist. "Kellhus is dead but not done." He could rewrite the Outside or someone else for that matter. So, no, I don't believe Earwa to be doomed. As others have said, if the 3rd series is just the details of the NG winning and the end of civilization, the story would have been better to just have been done at TUC.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Wilshire on October 26, 2017, 05:11:05 pm
Mog is more the true harbinger of the end than the end itself, as H points out above.
Probably noteworthy that the Consult aid that it is the manner which the butchery takes places, rather than the butchery itself. This pretty much implies that they do need Mog to be swirling around while the destroy everyone. So with that, while Mog is not 'the end', it is also inseparable from it.

As Kellhus said, the Inchoroi, the Consult, will eventually win. But it might not be this time. Though, it is hard, very hard, to imagine someone stopping the Consult this time:
Its now comprised of 4 dunyain who I assume are each individually smarter and better military tacticians than the old Consult, and in their sum they must be far far greater.
Far more Sranc - worse, mostly the sturdier horde from the Mountains, not to mention everything in the northeast, east, and western reaches of Earwa (where were presumably all cleared during Apocalypse 1).
There are now only the exhasted remains of the schools. Apocalypse 1 had at least 3 gnostic schools and the Quya.
Military power is at an all time low. All that remains are the Scylvendi and Zeum. (Btw, the last scene with Moenghus, it switches to 2nd person narrative (btw, fuck that, its worse than 1st person), so I expect Moenghus to do something strange).

Finally, from the gods perspective, the Eschaton is the final moment the gods perceive. It represents a singularity, if that term is more helpful to you. Meaning that after that moment, reality exists outside of the gods perspective.

Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 26, 2017, 05:13:29 pm
Quote from:  TaoHorror
Forgive the tangent, but I think it relates a bit to this conversation. Why was Yatwer hunting Kellhus with WLW's? If she is blind to her end, how would she know Kellhus was responsible for bringing about TNG? Forgive me if I missed the reason was revealed in the text, I don't recall ever coming across why she was hunting him.

She can see Kellhus because he wasn't the No-God. Couldn't see Kel though. I hope that answers your question.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Dora Vee on October 26, 2017, 05:37:54 pm
(seriously, can't Prosha get a break?)

No, of course not.  >:(


Quote
If there is an alternative, what could it be?

I've been wondering this too and really thinking that Kellhus would most likely be looking for AND finding that route. I DID think "killing faith" and thus starving/killing the beings on the Outside might have been a key. I had thought that Damnation and Heaven was based on Faith. Eliminate that and you eliminate eternal, well, anything. But, if it has nothing to do with belief and faith, then the key is to look for the cause. Isn't that how you find a cure?

I wish I could give a better answer. :(

Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 26, 2017, 06:05:34 pm
Mog is more the true harbinger of the end than the end itself, as H points out above.
Probably noteworthy that the Consult aid that it is the manner which the butchery takes places, rather than the butchery itself. This pretty much implies that they do need Mog to be swirling around while the destroy everyone. So with that, while Mog is not 'the end', it is also inseparable from it.

As Kellhus said, the Inchoroi, the Consult, will eventually win. But it might not be this time. Though, it is hard, very hard, to imagine someone stopping the Consult this time:
Its now comprised of 4 dunyain who I assume are each individually smarter and better military tacticians than the old Consult, and in their sum they must be far far greater.
Far more Sranc - worse, mostly the sturdier horde from the Mountains, not to mention everything in the northeast, east, and western reaches of Earwa (where were presumably all cleared during Apocalypse 1).
There are now only the exhasted remains of the schools. Apocalypse 1 had at least 3 gnostic schools and the Quya.
Military power is at an all time low. All that remains are the Scylvendi and Zeum. (Btw, the last scene with Moenghus, it switches to 2nd person narrative (btw, fuck that, its worse than 1st person), so I expect Moenghus to do something strange).

Finally, from the gods perspective, the Eschaton is the final moment the gods perceive. It represents a singularity, if that term is more helpful to you. Meaning that after that moment, reality exists outside of the gods perspective.



Very insightful, Wilshire, thanks!
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 26, 2017, 06:05:59 pm
Quote from:  TaoHorror
Forgive the tangent, but I think it relates a bit to this conversation. Why was Yatwer hunting Kellhus with WLW's? If she is blind to her end, how would she know Kellhus was responsible for bringing about TNG? Forgive me if I missed the reason was revealed in the text, I don't recall ever coming across why she was hunting him.

She can see Kellhus because he wasn't the No-God. Couldn't see Kel though. I hope that answers your question.

You're right, but then my question is why was she hunting him? Using the book analogy, maybe Kel are void spots in the "picture" and they deduced Kellhus responsible due viewing him/Esmi talking to "no one" ... or she was hunting him for another reason than to save themselves ( the gods ) from TNG.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 26, 2017, 06:07:32 pm
@TaoHorror

I guess because they see him as the end. They can't see the NG, so they go after the one who brings about the end. That's all I got.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 26, 2017, 06:16:51 pm
@TaoHorror

I guess because they see him as the end. They can't see the NG, so they go after the one who brings about the end. That's all I got.

Or they're going after Ajokli. :-)
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: SmilerLoki on October 26, 2017, 06:18:12 pm
I'm going to quote my post (http://www.second-apocalypse.com/index.php?topic=2440.msg40827#msg40827) from another thread, since it deals with the same questions:
The Gods being rewritten doesn't strictly mean them being erased, and even if it is the Consult's understanding or goal, it might not come to pass (or at least not fully). Let's assume the Gods see the world and its timeline as a whole. At the same time they do see something they call (presumably, since the Celmomian Prophecy itself is in contention) "the end of the world". So from their perspective there is some limit for what they can see, and they are aware of this limit (here it's important that presently we consider them mostly not aware of the No-God; I'm not prepared to discuss what this could possibly mean). And the only way of interfering with the Gods' vision that we have evidence of is the process of shutting the world off and its enactor, the No-God.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 26, 2017, 07:04:09 pm
@TaoHorror

I guess because they see him as the end. They can't see the NG, so they go after the one who brings about the end. That's all I got.

Or they're going after Ajokli. :-)
Yep. It's explicitly said by the one eyed Dûnyain before Ajokli implodes him.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Redeagl on October 26, 2017, 09:24:16 pm
The easy answer is yes. But, myself, I think those quotes on the No-God and what the gods can and cannot see, to be a red herring.

It could easily be that by some other means the Gods (100) cease to exist. "Kellhus is dead but not done." He could rewrite the Outside or someone else for that matter. So, no, I don't believe Earwa to be doomed. As others have said, if the 3rd series is just the details of the NG winning and the end of civilization, the story would have been better to just have been done at TUC.
No.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 26, 2017, 10:51:36 pm
The easy answer is yes. But, myself, I think those quotes on the No-God and what the gods can and cannot see, to be a red herring.

It could easily be that by some other means the Gods (100) cease to exist. "Kellhus is dead but not done." He could rewrite the Outside or someone else for that matter. So, no, I don't believe Earwa to be doomed. As others have said, if the 3rd series is just the details of the NG winning and the end of civilization, the story would have been better to just have been done at TUC.
No.

Yes.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 27, 2017, 12:05:25 pm
The easy answer is yes. But, myself, I think those quotes on the No-God and what the gods can and cannot see, to be a red herring.

It could easily be that by some other means the Gods (100) cease to exist. "Kellhus is dead but not done." He could rewrite the Outside or someone else for that matter. So, no, I don't believe Earwa to be doomed. As others have said, if the 3rd series is just the details of the NG winning and the end of civilization, the story would have been better to just have been done at TUC.
No.

Yes.
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Wilshire on October 27, 2017, 01:51:29 pm
You can always hop off the train at any moment ;) . I'll continue to enjoy the story as it unfolds, and try to prevent my own expectations getting in the way.

Also, what's with the low effort postings? You guys trying to up your post counts for some reason?
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 27, 2017, 02:38:37 pm
Quote from:  Wilshire
You can always hop off the train at any moment ;) . I'll continue to enjoy the story as it unfolds, and try to prevent my own expectations getting in the way.

Also, what's with the low effort postings? You guys trying to up your post counts for some reason?

I read the story no matter what, and you know this, maaaan! But, I just don't see the point thematically or narratively in showing us humanity dying off by being fucked by Sranc and tossed in the Whirlwind. We know that's what will happen, if the NG can't be stopped. Is rather see some hope from Mr. Bakker.

And, i never give low effort posts. Maximum effort....always. :)
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 27, 2017, 02:50:23 pm
Quote from:  tleilaxu
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".

Bakker stars that the Ark was the crash space. The Inchoroi have went their own little crash space or what have you, I don't see that being the case. Earwa is not technology advanced to have this crash space.

In along for the journey, no matter what. But, I wholeheartedly agree with that blogger that Bakker does believe in humanity and will use the last series to show that.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Wilshire on October 27, 2017, 03:24:58 pm
Yeah I don't see that as the case at all.

Crash space isn't just technology, its the inability of our brains to keep up with changing circumstances due to our low-data prediction processes that we use to interact with the world around us. Technology is just the most obvious and fastest-acting, but crash space can be achieved otherwise as well.

Bakker says little about how humanity can pull through. He's the doom and gloom type, and seems to think that we're rapidly approaching "too late" territory. Much closer to 'inevitable collapse' than holding out hope that humans will band together and save ourselves. Not only that, but much of what he says denies that that is even possible - we are shackled to our genetic and evolutionary inheritance.

We've hit an evolutionary dead end in terms of survivability. In fact, maybe we've hit upon the dead end of evolution: that the kind of animal survival that leads to superiority necessarily selects for low data prediction mechanisms that eventually leads to an inevitable downfall when deep-data processing is required in a high technology interactive civilization. The animal instincts that allowed us to become what we are is the very thing that prevents us from proceeding much further. We created a world that we can't persist in because the cognitive functions required for it are absent - and it will take too long for us to adapt properly, to evolve and select for humans with the kind of temperament and functions required to live in a system that moves and changes as fast as it does.

Michio Kaku somewhat famously suggested that the reason we might never see an advanced space-faring type 1, 2, or 3 civilization is because the transition from 0 to 1 destroys the species. He goes on to suggest that the reason for that is because an intelligent species that holds within itself both the power for total destruction and total permanence invariably ends up destroying itself before it can develop the necessary social function to operate cohesively and collaboratively as a planet-wide society.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Dora Vee on October 27, 2017, 03:36:34 pm
Honestly, I think Earwa will be doomed, but not because of the No God, but because of the actions of other humans.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 27, 2017, 03:51:20 pm
Honestly, I think Earwa will be doomed, but not because of the No God, but because of the actions of other humans.

Aaaah, I think you may have nailed it - I said something to that effect ( not so nicely succinct as you've done here ), with humans "helping" TNG reduce the number faster so the remaining can continue safely under the 144,000 number, but my point is too simplistic and therefore inane as whatever the "mechanism", it won't suddenly stop at that number with the momentum so strong it'll go well past that before/if it burns out.

Bakker is going to come up with something rich beyond just whether Earwa is doomed or not. If humanity survives with only 100,000, that meets the criteria of "doomed", but not done.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 27, 2017, 03:59:14 pm
In along for the journey, no matter what. But, I wholeheartedly agree with that blogger that Bakker does believe in humanity and will use the last series to show that.

Of course, "belief in humanity" could mean an ending where "And thus the One-Hundred Forty-Four Thousand began the work of rebuilding humanity in a Meaningless world."
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Dora Vee on October 27, 2017, 04:22:42 pm
I actually picture an ending similar to how Dark Souls ends. Not without some hope, but still pretty damned bleak. Especially Dark Souls III.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 27, 2017, 04:24:29 pm
I actually picture an ending similar to how Dark Souls ends. Not without some hope, but still pretty damned bleak. Especially Dark Souls III.

Ha, ha - like EVERYONE dies except The Consult and it's up to the Mutilated to restart humanity alone ( along with a few women they fatten up ).
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Dora Vee on October 27, 2017, 04:41:36 pm
And they turn the world into something like this:

Shijima

"All at one with the world."

Shijima is the Reason of Hikawa. It is based on stillness and oneness. It is a world of perfect harmony, without self, without passion, without conflict, without destruction. Individuality is eradicated and there is simply a collective inner peace in which everyone is equal to God. This collective functions as cogs in the giant, stable machine that is the universe. It is a lawful reason that is in someways related to the concept of Nirvana. Its demonic sponsor is Ahriman and is based on the Law Alignment of the previous Shin Megami Tensei games.

From here: http://megamitensei.wikia.com/wiki/Reason

SMT: Nocturne is also a fantastic game.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 27, 2017, 05:10:29 pm
Quote from:  profgrape
Of course, "belief in humanity" could mean an ending where "And thus the One-Hundred Forty-Four Thousand began the work of rebuilding humanity in a Meaningless world."

Not what I was going for, but ok, I get your humor.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: SmilerLoki on October 27, 2017, 06:12:26 pm
But, I just don't see the point thematically or narratively in showing us humanity dying off by being fucked by Sranc and tossed in the Whirlwind. We know that's what will happen, if the NG can't be stopped.
That would be my take, also. In principle, we already experienced the ending where the world is doomed. Just narrating the minutiae of that doom, as a rule, is not worth a story in my eyes.

But I dimly see possible exceptions to this rule. The problem is, they are extremely hard to implement. Expecting them would be like saying, "Hey, Mr. Bakker, please be so kind as to come up with fundamental innovations in writing, put them in 'The No-God' series, and obligatorily succeed in that endeavor, or we'll lynch you because you're just not good enough. Thank you! No pressure!"
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: profgrape on October 27, 2017, 06:59:00 pm
Quote from:  profgrape
Of course, "belief in humanity" could mean an ending where "And thus the One-Hundred Forty-Four Thousand began the work of rebuilding humanity in a Meaningless world."

Not what I was going for, but ok, I get your humor.
I'm only semi-joking here; I honestly could see Bakker defining "a happy ending" as a hard reset of human existence. 

In my dream-world, the resistance to the NG is led by the Zeumi (persons of color) and the women of the Three-Seas.  What happens in Bakker's dream world, however, remains to be seen... :-)
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TheCulminatingApe on October 27, 2017, 08:25:53 pm
As Kellhus said, the Inchoroi, the Consult, will eventually win. But it might not be this time. Though, it is hard, very hard, to imagine someone stopping the Consult this time:
Its now comprised of 4 dunyain who I assume are each individually smarter and better military tacticians than the old Consult, and in their sum they must be far far greater.
Far more Sranc - worse, mostly the sturdier horde from the Mountains, not to mention everything in the northeast, east, and western reaches of Earwa (where were presumably all cleared during Apocalypse 1).
There are now only the exhasted remains of the schools. Apocalypse 1 had at least 3 gnostic schools and the Quya.
Military power is at an all time low. All that remains are the Scylvendi and Zeum. (Btw, the last scene with Moenghus, it switches to 2nd person narrative (btw, fuck that, its worse than 1st person), so I expect Moenghus to do something strange).

I'm not convinced by this.  I don't think the Consult are in particularly great shape.  Golgotterath itself has been trashed inside and out.  One of the horns has been sheared off, and the insides of the other one have been half wrecked by Kellhus/Ajokli's foot stomp.  The horns are described somewhere in the text (I think in the appendix) as the 'Oars' of the Ark, which suggests to me they are important in how the Ark works, probably less fucntional following Arkfall (a crash), and now even less so.  The No-God as a 'Prosthesis of Ark' may be have some sort of function as a substitute, but more likely won't in my opinion.  The Consult have also lost (as far as I can recall) all their Non-Men mages.

The Dunyain have been shown to fail or fall short whenever they've been engaged outside Ishual and I don't see why the Mutilated should be any different in this respect.  Remember, that the Dunyain project at Ishual is an attempt to shut off influences from outside - I think we can read this as trying to shut the Outside (big O) is either going to fail or turn out in a manner that is not expected.

I don't see a military solution to the No-God.  However, there are still plenty of people in the Three Seas including millions of adult males, and thousands of potential sorcerors.  The upshot of TAE is that the military, sorcerous and logistical hierarchy/ organisation of the New Empire has been destroyed.  It can be replaced by something new and/ or different - which may be what is required.

I agree Moenghus is going to have a big role to play.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 27, 2017, 08:50:24 pm
Quote from:  tleilaxu
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".

Bakker stars that the Ark was the crash space. The Inchoroi have went their own little crash space or what have you, I don't see that being the case. Earwa is not technology advanced to have this crash space.
As Wilshire said, it's not about technology, but it's an analogy. The crash-space in the books is a literal death of Meaning where-as in our world it's a radically changed cognitive ecology.

Quote from:  tleilaxu
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".
In along for the journey, no matter what. But, I wholeheartedly agree with that blogger that Bakker does believe in humanity and will use the last series to show that.
How do you define "belief in humanity" tho.

Bakker says little about how humanity can pull through. He's the doom and gloom type, and seems to think that we're rapidly approaching "too late" territory. Much closer to 'inevitable collapse' than holding out hope that humans will band together and save ourselves. Not only that, but much of what he says denies that that is even possible - we are shackled to our genetic and evolutionary inheritance.

We've hit an evolutionary dead end in terms of survivability. In fact, maybe we've hit upon the dead end of evolution: that the kind of animal survival that leads to superiority necessarily selects for low data prediction mechanisms that eventually leads to an inevitable downfall when deep-data processing is required in a high technology interactive civilization. The animal instincts that allowed us to become what we are is the very thing that prevents us from proceeding much further. We created a world that we can't persist in because the cognitive functions required for it are absent - and it will take too long for us to adapt properly, to evolve and select for humans with the kind of temperament and functions required to live in a system that moves and changes as fast as it does.

Michio Kaku somewhat famously suggested that the reason we might never see an advanced space-faring type 1, 2, or 3 civilization is because the transition from 0 to 1 destroys the species. He goes on to suggest that the reason for that is because an intelligent species that holds within itself both the power for total destruction and total permanence invariably ends up destroying itself before it can develop the necessary social function to operate cohesively and collaboratively as a planet-wide society.
I think Bakker neglects the variability in humans. After all, there are several people on this very forum who are very aware of these behavioral/cognitive traps.
Also, Michio Kaku is kind of a crackpot if you ask me. He's in the same category as Ray Kurzweil in my book.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 28, 2017, 12:12:51 am
Quote from:  tleilaxu
How do you define "belief in humanity" tho?

I meant it only pertaining to the book and that humanity will find a way to defeat the NG.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 28, 2017, 12:16:24 am
Quote from:  SmilerLoki
That would be my take, also. In principle, we already experienced the ending where the world is doomed. Just narrating the minutiae of that doom, as a rule, is not worth a story in my eyes.

But I dimly see possible exceptions to this rule. The problem is, they are extremely hard to implement. Expecting them would be like saying, "Hey, Mr. Bakker, please be so kind as to come up with fundamental innovations in writing, put them in 'The No-God' series, and obligatorily succeed in that endeavor, or we'll lynch you because you're just not good enough. Thank you! No pressure!"

Great assessment! You put it words way better than I ever could. If the NG ultimately wins, why we just read that. No sense in going into the minutae of it all.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TaoHorror on October 28, 2017, 01:59:00 am
Would be so cool IMHO if Bakker flipped the table and wrote TNG with The Consult as the protagonists, screwing with us big time with our ( human's ) love of story. We've been "rooting" against them for 7 books, inundated with their depravity/evil/unholiness and now we start rooting for them. An extension of above post about Bakker possibly thinking the success of TNG would be a "happy ending".
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: SmilerLoki on October 28, 2017, 03:36:48 am
Would be so cool IMHO if Bakker flipped the table and wrote TNG with The Consult as the protagonists, screwing with us big time with our ( human's ) love of story. We've been "rooting" against them for 7 books, inundated with their depravity/evil/unholiness and now we start rooting for them. An extension of above post about Bakker possibly thinking the success of TNG would be a "happy ending".
It's very interesting to read posts like this since they are so far away from where I stand. I'm not rooting for anyone. I see logic in both sides of the conflict, i.e. for and against shutting the world, and honestly can't say whose arguments are stronger. So I just watch the story unfold. So far I'm very pleased, because that story, whether I like events described or not, is worth it.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 28, 2017, 09:51:25 am
Quote from: tleilaxu
As Wilshire said, it's not about technology, but it's an analogy. The crash-space in the books is a literal death of Meaning where-as in our world it's a radically changed cognitive ecology.

I understand what you and Wilshire are saying, and I won't say you're wrong. These philosophical theories are hard for me to wrap my head around. But, didn't Bakker say that the Ordeal coming to the Ark was the literal crash space of this story somewhere?

[EDIT Madness: Fixed quote tag.]
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 28, 2017, 01:22:43 pm
Quote from: tleilaxu
As Wilshire said, it's not about technology, but it's an analogy. The crash-space in the books is a literal death of Meaning where-as in our world it's a radically changed cognitive ecology.

I understand what you and Wilshire are saying, and I won't say you're wrong. These philosophical theories are hard for me to wrap my head around. But, didn't Bakker say that the Ordeal coming to the Ark was the literal crash space of this story somewhere?

Quote
Yes. All the lines of moral speculation (many of which are incompatible, as you say) converge on Golgotterath, the point where all meaning and morality breakdown. And this crash site is meant reflect our contemporary crash space of meaning and morality. I wanted Golgotterath to be the point where the story climbs out of the World, and onto the skin of our planet.

Quote
These books are 'about' many things, but the overarching theme is the death of meaning. The crash site of the Ark echoes our 'crash space,' the way all the stone age tools we evolved to make sense of our lives and our time belong to an ancestral ecology that is in the process of collapsing before our very eyes.

We're IN the crash-space, now we explore what happens as Meaning dies.

[EDIT Madness: Same quote fix.]
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: MSJ on October 28, 2017, 07:55:14 pm
Ok, well that makes sense. I'd just hate to see it. Thanks for the quotes.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Madness on October 30, 2017, 04:46:14 pm
...

Nice post ;).

Forgive the tangent, but I think it relates a bit to this conversation. Why was Yatwer hunting Kellhus with WLW's? If she is blind to her end, how would she know Kellhus was responsible for bringing about TNG? Forgive me if I missed the reason was revealed in the text, I don't recall ever coming across why she was hunting him.

As far as my reading and as profgrape says later in this thread: to stop Ajokli.

I've been wondering this too and really thinking that Kellhus would most likely be looking for AND finding that route. I DID think "killing faith" and thus starving/killing the beings on the Outside might have been a key. I had thought that Damnation and Heaven was based on Faith. Eliminate that and you eliminate eternal, well, anything. But, if it has nothing to do with belief and faith, then the key is to look for the cause. Isn't that how you find a cure?

I wish I could give a better answer. :(

That was a pretty good answer. Very interesting.

Or they're going after Ajokli. :-)

Yep. It's explicitly said by the one eyed Dûnyain before Ajokli implodes him.

+1

But I dimly see possible exceptions to this rule. The problem is, they are extremely hard to implement. Expecting them would be like saying, "Hey, Mr. Bakker, please be so kind as to come up with fundamental innovations in writing, put them in 'The No-God' series, and obligatorily succeed in that endeavor, or we'll lynch you because you're just not good enough. Thank you! No pressure!"

I have no idea what Bakker readerly catharsis might read like though I've long wondered about it.

In my dream-world, the resistance to the NG is led by the Zeumi (persons of color) and the women of the Three-Seas.  What happens in Bakker's dream world, however, remains to be seen... :-)

Well, I mean, as we've talked about this. Looking forward to it.

...

Kellhus arguably enslaved the entire Three Seas in two decades. The Mutilated don't have to manage the same complex social organization and they had unrestricted access to the Gnosis and the Tekne for half as long-ish as Kellhus spent trying to manage the South.

And they just routed the largest army ever assembled.

Advantage Mutilated.

Quote from:  tleilaxu
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".

Bakker stars that the Ark was the crash space. The Inchoroi have went their own little crash space or what have you, I don't see that being the case. Earwa is not technology advanced to have this crash space.
As Wilshire said, it's not about technology, but it's an analogy. The crash-space in the books is a literal death of Meaning where-as in our world it's a radically changed cognitive ecology.

I've been thinking up my second guest post idea for TPB - since Bakker previously offered me a shot that I didn't take.

But I really think he's done a poor job of explaining his views on cognitive ecologies, crash space, etc, as he's developed his terminology across so many TPB posts. I have admonished him to post some definition elucidation.

You seem to get it a little more than most, tleilaxu, to the disservice of the story on Bakker's part because he uses his terms reflexively expecting individual fiction readers to understand their inception.

I actually think in terms of creating a SFF-narrative ecological crash that he's done a fairly good job. Totally lost on many readers.

Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Wilshire on October 30, 2017, 05:33:21 pm
Quote from: tleilaxu link=topic=2473.msg41300#msg41300

Whether or not he negelcts them though isn't really the point either. I'm just pointing out that he doesn't seem to be the guy to look to if you want a cheerleader for humanity.
Bakker says little about how humanity can pull through. He's the doom and gloom type, and seems to think that we're rapidly approaching "too late" territory. Much closer to 'inevitable collapse' than holding out hope that humans will band together and save ourselves. Not only that, but much of what he says denies that that is even possible - we are shackled to our genetic and evolutionary inheritance.

We've hit an evolutionary dead end in terms of survivability. In fact, maybe we've hit upon the dead end of evolution: that the kind of animal survival that leads to superiority necessarily selects for low data prediction mechanisms that eventually leads to an inevitable downfall when deep-data processing is required in a high technology interactive civilization. The animal instincts that allowed us to become what we are is the very thing that prevents us from proceeding much further. We created a world that we can't persist in because the cognitive functions required for it are absent - and it will take too long for us to adapt properly, to evolve and select for humans with the kind of temperament and functions required to live in a system that moves and changes as fast as it does.

Michio Kaku somewhat famously suggested that the reason we might never see an advanced space-faring type 1, 2, or 3 civilization is because the transition from 0 to 1 destroys the species. He goes on to suggest that the reason for that is because an intelligent species that holds within itself both the power for total destruction and total permanence invariably ends up destroying itself before it can develop the necessary social function to operate cohesively and collaboratively as a planet-wide society.
I think Bakker neglects the variability in humans. After all, there are several people on this very forum who are very aware of these behavioral/cognitive traps.
Also, Michio Kaku is kind of a crackpot if you ask me. He's in the same category as Ray Kurzweil in my book.
I'm just pointing out that he doesn't seem to be the guy to look to if you want a cheerleader for humanity.

But even still, the variability in humanity is not particularly relevant in this case. We're talking about species wide sums of cognitive failure. Humans lack the ability to navigate this minefield. Much of the problem being that even those completely aware of the issue can't do anything about it. They are just as easily fooled as the rest. At least, that's what he seems to bring up.

And yes, Kaku is a radical that's for sure, and probably a nutcase too, but no more so than Bakker if you ask me. I mean, Bakker is a philosopher who disparages traditional philosophy, the underpinnings of his own field ... it doesn't get much more crazy than that.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: TLEILAXU on October 30, 2017, 07:00:08 pm
...

Nice post ;).

Forgive the tangent, but I think it relates a bit to this conversation. Why was Yatwer hunting Kellhus with WLW's? If she is blind to her end, how would she know Kellhus was responsible for bringing about TNG? Forgive me if I missed the reason was revealed in the text, I don't recall ever coming across why she was hunting him.

As far as my reading and as profgrape says later in this thread: to stop Ajokli.

I've been wondering this too and really thinking that Kellhus would most likely be looking for AND finding that route. I DID think "killing faith" and thus starving/killing the beings on the Outside might have been a key. I had thought that Damnation and Heaven was based on Faith. Eliminate that and you eliminate eternal, well, anything. But, if it has nothing to do with belief and faith, then the key is to look for the cause. Isn't that how you find a cure?

I wish I could give a better answer. :(

That was a pretty good answer. Very interesting.

Or they're going after Ajokli. :-)

Yep. It's explicitly said by the one eyed Dûnyain before Ajokli implodes him.

+1

But I dimly see possible exceptions to this rule. The problem is, they are extremely hard to implement. Expecting them would be like saying, "Hey, Mr. Bakker, please be so kind as to come up with fundamental innovations in writing, put them in 'The No-God' series, and obligatorily succeed in that endeavor, or we'll lynch you because you're just not good enough. Thank you! No pressure!"

I have no idea what Bakker readerly catharsis might read like though I've long wondered about it.

In my dream-world, the resistance to the NG is led by the Zeumi (persons of color) and the women of the Three-Seas.  What happens in Bakker's dream world, however, remains to be seen... :-)

Well, I mean, as we've talked about this. Looking forward to it.

...

Kellhus arguably enslaved the entire Three Seas in two decades. The Mutilated don't have to manage the same complex social organization and they had unrestricted access to the Gnosis and the Tekne for half as long-ish as Kellhus spent trying to manage the South.

And they just routed the largest army ever assembled.

Advantage Mutilated.

Quote from:  tleilaxu
No. The whole point is that the story now mirrors our own "crash-space".

Bakker stars that the Ark was the crash space. The Inchoroi have went their own little crash space or what have you, I don't see that being the case. Earwa is not technology advanced to have this crash space.
As Wilshire said, it's not about technology, but it's an analogy. The crash-space in the books is a literal death of Meaning where-as in our world it's a radically changed cognitive ecology.

I've been thinking up my second guest post idea for TPB - since Bakker previously offered me a shot that I didn't take.

But I really think he's done a poor job of explaining his views on cognitive ecologies, crash space, etc, as he's developed his terminology across so many TPB posts. I have admonished him to post some definition elucidation.

You seem to get it a little more than most, tleilaxu, to the disservice of the story on Bakker's part because he uses his terms reflexively expecting individual fiction readers to understand their inception.

I actually think in terms of creating a SFF-narrative ecological crash that he's done a fairly good job. Totally lost on many readers.
I wouldn't be to sure about that, maybe I'm just a Chinese room pretending to understand something. I have to fish carefully for the essential tidbits, since I don't know shit about philosophy. 

Quote from: tleilaxu link=topic=2473.msg41300#msg41300

Whether or not he negelcts them though isn't really the point either. I'm just pointing out that he doesn't seem to be the guy to look to if you want a cheerleader for humanity.
Bakker says little about how humanity can pull through. He's the doom and gloom type, and seems to think that we're rapidly approaching "too late" territory. Much closer to 'inevitable collapse' than holding out hope that humans will band together and save ourselves. Not only that, but much of what he says denies that that is even possible - we are shackled to our genetic and evolutionary inheritance.

We've hit an evolutionary dead end in terms of survivability. In fact, maybe we've hit upon the dead end of evolution: that the kind of animal survival that leads to superiority necessarily selects for low data prediction mechanisms that eventually leads to an inevitable downfall when deep-data processing is required in a high technology interactive civilization. The animal instincts that allowed us to become what we are is the very thing that prevents us from proceeding much further. We created a world that we can't persist in because the cognitive functions required for it are absent - and it will take too long for us to adapt properly, to evolve and select for humans with the kind of temperament and functions required to live in a system that moves and changes as fast as it does.

Michio Kaku somewhat famously suggested that the reason we might never see an advanced space-faring type 1, 2, or 3 civilization is because the transition from 0 to 1 destroys the species. He goes on to suggest that the reason for that is because an intelligent species that holds within itself both the power for total destruction and total permanence invariably ends up destroying itself before it can develop the necessary social function to operate cohesively and collaboratively as a planet-wide society.
I think Bakker neglects the variability in humans. After all, there are several people on this very forum who are very aware of these behavioral/cognitive traps.
Also, Michio Kaku is kind of a crackpot if you ask me. He's in the same category as Ray Kurzweil in my book.
I'm just pointing out that he doesn't seem to be the guy to look to if you want a cheerleader for humanity.

But even still, the variability in humanity is not particularly relevant in this case. We're talking about species wide sums of cognitive failure. Humans lack the ability to navigate this minefield. Much of the problem being that even those completely aware of the issue can't do anything about it. They are just as easily fooled as the rest. At least, that's what he seems to bring up.

And yes, Kaku is a radical that's for sure, and probably a nutcase too, but no more so than Bakker if you ask me. I mean, Bakker is a philosopher who disparages traditional philosophy, the underpinnings of his own field ... it doesn't get much more crazy than that.
I get what you're saying, I think I'm just more optimistic about this. Maybe I'm just an aspie though.
I think Bakker's disparagement of traditional philosophy is awesome. Now I don't have to feel like a total hack when I tell people that, say, the hard problem of consciousness is bullshit, I can just regurgitate something about cognition being heuristic and walk away.
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Wilshire on October 30, 2017, 07:33:15 pm
I get what you're saying, I think I'm just more optimistic about this. Maybe I'm just an aspie though.
I think Bakker's disparagement of traditional philosophy is awesome. Now I don't have to feel like a total hack when I tell people that, say, the hard problem of consciousness is bullshit, I can just regurgitate something about cognition being heuristic and walk away.

We're on the same page. I loved Bakker's little jab in the STBYM podcast. Badly paraphrasing: "philosopher's solution for the last two thousand years has been to think really hard at the problem, and it hasn't worked. Lets try something different".
Title: Re: Is Earwa doomed?
Post by: Madness on November 04, 2017, 04:56:19 pm
I wouldn't be to sure about that, maybe I'm just a Chinese room pretending to understand something. I have to fish carefully for the essential tidbits, since I don't know shit about philosophy.

Lean into it, tleilaxu. We're all here together, for better or worse.