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Messages - TLEILAXU

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General Misc. / Re: Board Games and Miniatures
« on: December 13, 2018, 11:21:49 pm »
Post Noise Marines if you got any.

Philosophy & Science / Re: Scientists identify vast underground ecosystem
« on: December 12, 2018, 06:58:53 pm »
Cooliorino. Let's start getting those enzymes.

All day I've been obsessed with Family Guy's take on 'Angel of the Morning'

General Misc. / Re: Vampires(Blindsight universe) vs. Dunyain
« on: December 04, 2018, 09:40:28 am »
They're so similar in so many ways. Like that part in Blindsight where Sarasti splits Siri's arm in two,  and he thinks it's because of sadism, he projects all these emotions on to Sarasti and in the end it turns out he just did it to make Siri see something. The thinking was long term goal oriented, like a Dûnyain.
Given the specific descriptions of the series though, it's fair to say a Dûnyain would absolutely wipe the floor with a vampire. They're just too strong and intelligent.

Not even physics has been reduced to physics.

Philosophy & Science / Re: The Insect Apocalypse is Here?
« on: November 30, 2018, 05:16:23 pm »
I vaguely remember the Lotka-Volterra equations from high-school.

General Earwa / Re: Thought about other supports?
« on: November 29, 2018, 05:00:03 pm »
Dubs are stupid.

True, but then aren't the physicists she complains about also subject to the same possibility of bias?
Yes, but again, what do you trust based on your prior knowledge, such as numbers, importance of various people, your own limited understanding of physics etc.

And if there is a lack of experimental results this leads to an opening for fair - but not necessarily correct! - criticism.
But how do you know to which degree this is due to failure of the model or "engineering challenges"?

Fair point, but I think this is where the criticism - if true! - seems applicable. Can we shift toward experimental results over mathematics that is more divorced from the lab (assuming I grasp her complaints).
I would say no, because the lab is the best place(only?) to solve the problem.

String theory and MWI, from what I recall, has been criticized on multiple fronts within the physics community?
I personally think MWI sounds stupid as hell so I hope it's wrong, but from what I know from various youtube talks and pop-science articles (e.g. quantamagazine is lovely), string theory is considered the best mathematical framework while MWI is just a popular /interpretation/ of things.

I think we can at least ask if there are alternatives where funding might go, in the vein of the analogy to a Business School grad overseeing an R&D departments...but as you say this is a major issue in general. We count on "elites" in varied spheres - especially Econ / STEM / Health - but how do we as a public judge their efficacy?
Given our lack of prior knowledge, I think we just don't. The people working at these forefronts are vastly more knowledgeable than us and very likely also more intelligent, so we just trust that they'll be able to overcome whatever problems/cognitive biases current paradigms present, as has happened in the past.
If it were a business question though, the obvious answer would be to shut down the string theory R&D so you save money and let academia deal with it until more tangible results come up.

I Sabine lying? If there is progress people can show it right? If there have been experimental confirmations of theory it can be shown, if there isn't it seems to me this is a situation akin to a non-STEM manager wondering why the R&D team isn't adding value to company after X years?

I'm not saying she's lying, but we're all prone to certain biases in certain ways right? Regarding the R&D analogy, imagine you are the manager of an R&D team whose task it is to find a drug for some type of cancer. Many years pass and no result is available. Does it mean your R&D team is somehow stuck in some kind of wide-spread delusional ideology or that maybe the problem is just really damn hard?
She also seems to be a physicist herself, rather than a blogger who is "womansplaining" to physicists? :

Is Motl even employed as a physicist anymore?
True true, but as a non-physicist, do you trust the view of some outliers more than the (I assume) prevailing view of the physics community and geniuses such as Edward Witten, Nima Arkani etc? It's hard to even be qualified to make this decision, I certainly feel uneasy about it myself, but right now I to believe that if some of the smartest phycisists on earth think string theory is the best bet, there's probably something to it, and more importantly, I think they're probably aware of things such as cognitive bias etc., at least to some degree.
And regarding Motl, I have no idea, his blog shows obvious signs of mental issues so I wouldn't be surprised if he wasn't, but even a stopped clock shows the correct time twice a day.

Interesting, check out one of Lubos Motl's many angry rants about Sabine Hossenfelder, e.g.
On a personal level, I think Motl is definitely showing signs of mental illness/delusion, but I agree to a large extend with his point that if you disagree with the world's smartest physicists, chances are you're just too stupid to understand what they're talking about.

Philosophy & Science / Re: How Political Opinions Change
« on: November 27, 2018, 02:25:14 pm »
Thanks mr. H!

Philosophy & Science / Re: How Political Opinions Change
« on: November 26, 2018, 08:20:30 pm »
Annoying that the link to the original article is broken.

Vivaldi - Violin Concerto in A Minor RV356

"Schrödinger's Bacterium" Could Be a Quantum Biology Mileston

There are many caveats to such controversial claims, however. First and foremost, the evidence for entanglement in this experiment is circumstantial, dependent on how one chooses to interpret the light trickling through and out of the cavity-confined bacteria. Marletto and her colleagues acknowledge a classical model free of quantum effects could also account for the experiment’s results. But, of course, photons are not classical at all—they are quantum. And yet a more realistic “semiclassical” model using Newton’s laws for the bacteria and quantum ones for photons fails to reproduce the actual outcome Coles and his colleagues observed in their laboratory. This hints that quantum effects were at play in both the light and the bacteria. “It’s a little bit indirect, but I think it’s because they’re only trying to be so rigorous in ruling out things and claiming anything too much,” says James Wootton, a quantum computing researcher at IBM Zurich Research Laboratory who was not involved in either paper.

The other caveat: the energies of the bacteria and the photon were measured collectively, not independently. This, according to Simon Gröblacher of Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands who was not part of this research, is somewhat of a limitation. “There seems to be something quantum going on,” he says. “But…usually if we demonstrate entanglement, you have to measure the two systems independently” to confirm any quantum correlation between them is genuine.
So they entangled some photosystems with some laser shit? Cooliorino.

Philosophy & Science / Re: The Vulnerable World Hypothesis
« on: November 19, 2018, 08:32:32 pm »
For example, advances in DIY biohacking tools might make it easy for anybody with basic training in biology to kill millions
God I'm so tired of this particular meme. Buying some PCR kit off e bay and injecting plasmids into your bloodstream is NOT "hacking" anything, it's just a waste of time, and technological advances don't change that. The notion that you can randomly "engineer" a virus to kill millions is just absurd and even if somehow the average Joe gets to mutate viruses in his backyard, this still assumes that the nobody's going to, like, make a fucking vaccine or something, and how is the virus supposed to kill millions anyway? Is it an xXx_uLtRa_EvOlVeD_xXx super zombie ebola virus that just magically kills people extremely fast WHILE managing to propagate? Goddamn I hate ""biohacking"" and everything related to it SO MUCH.
    Regarding the main topic though, I don't get it. We've had the atomic bomb for nearly a 100 years, the most destructive weapon ever known to man. Several wars, famines, droughts. Black death killed like half of Europe's population, and Euroasian/African diseases putatively wiped out most Native Americans and here we are, over 7 billion breathing bags of blood and feces sprawling all over this incontinent wonder-world of shit, plastic and cigarette butts. I'd say we're a lot less vulnerable now than before, and ain't no dumb ass "biohacking" or AGI (which will never be invented because AGI is dumb. I have a bet with Wilshire and somebody else on this actually) going to stop us now. Nuclear apocalypse could though. Or Aliens.
    Anyway I didn't really read the article, just got triggered by the "biohacking" mention, hope this post is at least a little bit constructive.

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