The Case Against Quantum Computing

  • 2 Replies
  • 107 Views

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

sciborg2

  • *
  • Old Name
  • *****
  • Contrarian Wanker
  • Posts: 692
  • "Trickster Makes This World"
    • View Profile
« on: November 16, 2018, 08:03:05 pm »
The Case Against Quantum Computing

Quote
Its become something of a self-perpetuating arms race, with many organizations seemingly staying in the race if only to avoid being left behind. Some of the worlds top technical talent, at places like Google, IBM, and Microsoft, are working hard, and with lavish resources in state-of-the-art laboratories, to realize their vision of a quantum-computing future.

In light of all this, its natural to wonder: When will useful quantum computers be constructed? The most optimistic experts estimate it will take 5 to 10 years. More cautious ones predict 20 to 30 years. (Similar predictions have been voiced, by the way, for the last 20 years.) I belong to a tiny minority that answers, Not in the foreseeable future. Having spent decades conducting research in quantum and condensed-matter physics, Ive developed my very pessimistic view. Its based on an understanding of the gargantuan technical challenges that would have to be overcome to ever make quantum computing work.
Health Resources:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/12NfnxYU5ZSur-RahRNI-bNMnTjxE12vyGWmY46Xq2h0/edit

Register family with 911 services. Also mental health info & hotlines, articles, treatment assistance options, prescription assistance, legal aid, etc.

TaoHorror

  • *
  • Old Name
  • *****
  • Posts: 925
  • Blueberry Pskhe Sorcerer
    • View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2018, 02:21:30 pm »
I agree.
Remember to brush before bed

Wilshire

  • *
  • Administrator
  • Old Name
  • *****
  • Enshoiya
  • Posts: 5571
  • Do you remember the words?!
    • View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2018, 05:31:41 pm »
Probably more likely its a generational tasks that will take ... generation. Like how for 100 years we've been 10-20, maybe 30-40 years away from viable fusion energy. Current estimates are the same today as they were in the in the 20's right? 10-20 years left says the people funding it, 30-40 years says the people working on it. Wouldn't you know it, 30-40 years is an entire career... that seems convenient.

I'm 100% for generational tasks Space, fusion, quantum computers, AI, whatever. The public, and people with money, are too short cited to handle real estimations of time. 100 years. 500 years. As long as people keep funding the hard stuff, its all good. I'm not holding my breath though every time some bloke says we're on the cusp of a revolutionary do-dad.
One of the other conditions of possibility.