Great thread and discussion.
fun to read through.
One thing that keeps being brought up is 'the world without Dunyain'.
What a curious parallel story that would make - especially given that we know Moenghus Sr and Kellhus, with their TTT, ultimately failed to stop Resumption.
Humanity itself suffered the worst fate, at least in its sum.
Without the Dunyain - What happens?
Cnaiur's path remains somewhat similar, probably still becomes the King-of-Tribes and rides against The Empire, if not all the Three Seas.
Conphas, probably, ends up conquering the Fanim and becoming Aspect Emperor, with some real unity between the Inrithi and Fanimry. This unity over the next 20ish years would have progressed through trade and shared conquest to include an empire of similar strength and size of Kellhus'.
Largely, Kellhus' biggest contributions were the Witches and uniting the shools, but they all died anyway, so maybe having them all
alive at resumption would have been more effective than a new gnostic school that was dead. Recall that the Mandate were mostly wiped out before Golgotterath anyway, so that's almost a Net 0 transaction.
So the No-God walks, and all the Three Seas are not ultimately much different than before Kellhus showed up, but now they are in their various Casteles and defensible positions, rather than trapped in Golgotterath.
The Consult would still be run by Humans, rather than Dunyain super-human-sorcerer-engineers making New tekne creations, nukes, etc. Heck, maybe there
would be no Resumption since the Anasurimbor line would have never been found.
The whole thing might have ended up far better without Moenghus/Kellhus and TTT. Could very well be that the existence of the Dunyain is what caused the demise of all humanity.
Due to the events of TSA, humanity itself might very well end, and therefore, the species as a whole is the biggest loser.